alright let's get this all out on the table, i've been wracking my brain and any partial information i can claim let's the mafia logically deduce the rest
we are working with setup 2B, i am the tracker and was the night kill attempt last night. i have no results as i was the jailkeep protection both nights. mafia has a role cop of unknown success. it is possible they killed heal and role copped a 1 random vanilla n1, i think it's more likely they attempted to cop into my protection thus making me a target tonight, which suggests they randed a 1/3 meaning a 50/50 tonight to hit our jailkeeper. if they have two successes on the role cop then they can deduce everyone's remaining roles with that information
therefore we mass claim and have two confirmed townies. if we fail to catch scum, the jailkeep attempts to protect me and dies in the process and i have a 1/3 to catch the killer outright. if we manage to hit the scum, same plan with much better odds
if apricity is scum he already knows i'm a pr i've bled it across the thread because i suck at hiding that info and as i said if i provided any partial info (i.e. i was the night kill target) scum can deduce my role and the set up because such knowledge implies a failed action implies a jailkeeper and their knowledge of mafia role cop implies 2B
If Nuxl is scum he's had a masterful performance, he's been obvtowning since day 1 and putting in ridiculous effort. apricity is similarly unlikely to be scum. the only way nuxl is scum is in a scum team with apricity where apricity is coaching him and after all that's gone down it just probably isn't him. this also with the part where neither apricity or I died n1 but instead Heal did with the implication being a naive scum team
considering Heals VT claim and subsequent death, this implicates IFML to some extent in conjunction with his earlier pr fishing post. caffbo has been bleeding town periodically and has made a couple of starkly weird posts that don't make a lot of sense as scum. this implicates a viper+ifml team.
of the two i think we lynch viper. considering his medical inactivity in the event that he's town it will guarantee a loss in LYLO if he survives. if he flips scum i track IFML for the mechanical clear or guilty while the jailkeep claimant dies. if he flips town we proceed to IFML anyway and give applause to ap/nuxl if we're wrong
am i missing anything?