CAP 7 CAP 7 - Stat Spread Submissions/Discussion

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final submission

Final Submission
85/90/87/55/95/118


physical sweepiness: 142, rank 3 good
physical tankiness: 118, rank 1 above average
special sweepiness: 89, rank -1 below average
special tankiness: 127, rank 2 moderately good
O/D balance: 6.4, slight bias to offense
P/S balance: 22.0, bias to physical
BSR: 296 quite good
BST: 530

min- min max max+
311 374
194 216 279 306
189 210 273 300
131 146 209 229
203 226 289 317
244 272 335 368

my stats needed revision since it is inevitable that physical will in the build bias. also, i have been swayed to drop the speed, mostly in part that my fears of alakazam and dugtrio doing anything to stop this poke happens to be unlikely when they are at 44 and 24, respectedly, on the usage for january. the 118 will allow this poke to outspeed starmie, azelf and syclant. it also gets it out of the way of jolly ttar and max speed magnezone, in addition to giving the chance to outspeed standard 216 Speed EV adamant dugtrio.

the 85/87/95 defenses make it bulkier than many other builds on here, but at the same time less bulk that others. i think it's a good middle path since it can even take a non-STAB SE (aka earthquake) or two before having to call it quits. also, the special defense is higher due prevalence of heatran, azelf (that sometimes runs fire blast), strat, and syclant (that on two sets runs earthpower and/or HP fire)

the 90/55/118 offensive stats reflect the message i recieved from the polls; the community seems to want a poke that is at least capable of scaring of enemies, but not strong enough to sweep, and that has a strong physical bias.

damage calcs
damage calcs were all done with min stats since i can't guess ossible builds. i'm only including defensive damage calcs b/c others have already done calcs with 90 attack, and because the amounts of switching makes defense, imo, more important than its attack. also, the damage calcs were done against all the top 10 from january.
the wall o'text:

fridgit
0SpA Timid Fridgit's earth power vs. CaP7=59.81% - 71.38%
252SpA Timid CS Fridgit's earth power vs. CaP7=114.47% - 135.69%
0SpA Timid Fridgit's HP ice vs. CaP7=7.72% - 9.32%
252SpA Timid CS Fridgit's HP ice vs. CaP7=18.97% - 22.51%
252SpA Timid CS Fridgit's shadow ball vs. CaP7=34.08% - 40.51%
0SpA Timid Fridgit's shadow ball vs. CaP7=18.01% - 21.22

arghonaut
32Atk Adamant +0BU Arghonaut's waterfall vs. CaP7=37.94% - 45.34%
32Atk Adamant +1BU Arghonaut's waterfall vs. CaP7=57.23% - 67.85%
252Atk Adamant Arghonaut's waterfall vs. CaP7=46.30% - 54.98%
252Atk Adamant Arghonaut's Stone Edge vs. CaP7=19.29% - 22.83%
32Atk Adamant +0BU Arghonaut's Icepunch vs. CaP7=11.90% - 14.15%
32Atk Adamant +1BU Arghonaut's Icepunch vs. CaP7=18.01% - 21.22%

stratagem
252SpA Timid Stratagem's paleo wave vs. CaP7=32.80% - 38.59%
252SpA Timid Stratagem's energy ball vs. CaP7=19.29% - 22.83%
252SpA Timid Stratagem's flamerthrower vs. CaP7=91.96% - 108.68%
252SpA Timid +1SpA Stratagem's paleo wave vs. CaP7=48.87% - 57.56%
252SpA Timid +1SpA Stratagem's energy ball vs. CaP7=28.94% - 34.08%
252SpA Timid +1SpA Stratagem's flamerthrower vs. CaP7=138.26% - 162.70%

salamence
232Atk Naughty LO Salamence's earthquake vs. CaP7=114.47% - 135.05%
232Atk Naughty LO +1ATK Salamence's earthquake vs. CaP7=171.06% - 201.93%
232Atk Naughty LO Salamence's outrage vs. CaP7=51.45% - 60.77%
232Atk Naughty LO +1ATK Salamence's outrage vs. CaP7=77.17% - 90.68%
24SPA Naughty LO Salamence's fireblast vs. CaP7=83.60% - 98.39%

tyranitar
252Atk Adamant CB Tyranitar's earthquake vs. CaP7=132.48% - 156.27%
252Atk Adamant CB Tyranitar's stone edge vs. CaP7=49.52% - 58.52%
252Atk Adamant CB Tyranitar's crunch vs. CaP7=79.10% - 93.89%
252Atk Adamant LO Tyranitar's earthquake vs. CaP7=115.11% - 135.69%
252Atk Adamant LO Tyranitar's stone edge vs. CaP7=43.09% - 50.80%
252Atk Adamant LO Tyranitar's crunch vs. CaP7=68.81% - 81.35%
252Atk Adamant LO +1ATK Tyranitar's earthquake vs. CaP7=171.70% - 202.57%
252Atk Adamant LO +1ATK Tyranitar's stone edge vs. CaP7=64.31% - 75.88%
252Atk Adamant LO +1ATK Tyranitar's crunch vs. CaP7=103.54% - 121.54%

revenankh
0Atk Careful Revenankh's shadow sneak vs. CaP7=16.40% - 19.61%
0Atk Careful +1ATK Revenankh's shadow sneak vs. CaP7=24.44% - 29.26%
252Atk Adamant Revenankh's shadow sneak vs. CaP7=22.51% - 27.01%
252Atk Adamant +1ATK Revenankh's shadow sneak vs. CaP7=33.76% - 39.87%
252Atk Adamant Revenankh's ice punch vs. CaP7=12.86% - 15.43%
252Atk Adamant +1ATK Revenankh's ice punch vs. CaP7=19.29% - 22.83%
I'm not going to show the CB build, because in all honesty, I can't remember ever seeing it.

blissey
80SpA calm Blissey's flamethrower vs. CaP7=39.87% - 47.59%
80SpA calm Blissey's ice beam vs. CaP7=9.97% - 11.90%
wishbliss is the most common so these are the only attacks. clerics does about 1% less on ice beam and 3%-4% less on flamethrower. all other builds are barely used.

zapados
0SpA Bold/calm Zapados' heatwave vs. CaP7=58.52% - 69.45%
252SpA Timid Zapados' heatwave vs. CaP7=71.38% - 84.24%
0SpA Bold/calm Zapados' thunderbolt vs. CaP7=41.48% - 49.20%
252SpA Timid Zapados' thunderbolt vs. CaP7=51.13% - 60.13%
0SpA Bold/calm Zapados' HP ice/grass vs. CaP7=10.29% - 12.22%
252SpA Timid Zapados' HP ice/grass vs. CaP7=12.54% - 14.79%

heatran
252SpA Naive/rash Scarfran's fireblast vs. CaP7=131.83% - 156.27%
252SpA Naive/rash Scarfran's earthpower vs. CaP7=51.45% - 61.09%
252SpA Naive/rash Scarfran's HP ice vs. CaP7=12.86% - 15.11%
the other builds have roughly the same damage, and i don't think i have to go into the the crazy Specran damage

scizor
252Atk Adamant +0ATK LO Scizor's bullet punch vs. CaP7=25.08% - 29.90%
252Atk Adamant +2ATK LO Scizor's bullet punch vs. CaP7=50.48% - 59.81%
252Atk Adamant CB Scizor's bullet punch vs. CaP7=28.94% - 34.41%
252Atk Adamant CB Scizor's pursuit (regular) vs. CaP7=38.59% - 45.66%
252Atk Adamant CB Scizor's pursuit (switching out) vs. CaP7=52.09% - 61.09%
252Atk Adamant CB Scizor's u-turn vs. CaP7=16.72% - 19.94%

feel free to check the calcs, if anything is wrong please tell me.
 
Here's my final entry:
Revised my stat spead to reflect the directions of the polls:

BST: 512

The defenses took a bit of a hit, especially special defense. I managed to keep the offensive ability pretty much the same though by lowering the speed to 105 since I felt that outspeeding Latias wasn't worth the points. It still outspeeds Salamance and other base 100s however, which is good enough for me.
Base Stats: 93/98/75/86/55/105
Min- Min Max Max+
327 390
208 232 295 324
167 186 249 273
187 208 271 298
131 146 209 229
221 246 309 339

Spread 1 : 252 SpA/216 Spd/40 SpD, Timid, No Offensive-item.

Emphasis on special attack, with enough speed to outrun base 100s, and the rest of the EVs dumped in special defense to help it survive special attacks. This is also the spread that sets mine apart from most of the others, so I will be focusing on it.

Offensive Calcs:

Shadow Ball:

To Standard (Bold, 252 HP/0 SpD) Rotom-A: 61.18% - 73.03%
To 4 HP Gengar: 96.18% - 112.98% (OHKO with SR)
To BU Revenankh: 41.15% - 48.96%
To Defensive (Impish, 252 HP/4 SpD) Dusknoir: 51.70% - 61.90%
To Defensive Celebi: 49.50% - 58.42% (Solid 2HKO with SR+Leftovers)
To Rapid Spin Starmie: 77.29% - 91.53% (20.51% chance of OHKO w/SR)
To Choice Starmie: 87.02% - 103.05% (92.31 chance of OHKO w/SR)

Flash Cannon:

To CBTar: 34.81%-41.04%
To LeadTar: 25.44%-30.42%
To LO Stratagem: 82.61% - 97.52% (66.67% chance to OHKO w/SR)
To SubCM Stratagem: 69.44% - 81.90%

Ice Beam:

To DDMence: 126.89% - 149.85%
To SpeciallyBulky Mence: 85.13% - 100.51% (OHKO w/SR)
To Standard Hippowdown: 43.81% - 51.90% (8.02% chance of 2HKO w/SR + Leftovers)
To Defensive Gliscor: 112.99% - 133.33%
To Defensive Celebi: 39.11% - 46.04%

Grass Knot:

To Standard Hippowdown: 55.24% - 65.24%
To Physical Swampert: 89.11% - 105.94% (74.36% chance of OHKO w/SR)
To CurseSpert: 73.27% - 87.13%
To Standard Suicune: 43.56% - 51.49% (53.98% chance of 2HKO w/SR + Leftovers)

Earth Power:

To 4 HP/0 SpD Timid Heatran: 77.78% - 92.59% (33.33% chance to OHKO w/SR)
To Naive Infernape: 66.21% - 78.50%
To Hasty Infernape: 60.07% - 70.99%
To Steel Killer Magnezone: 90.12% - 106.17% (74.36% chance to OHKO w/SR)
To CBGross: 40.11% - 47.25%
To 4 HP Lucario: 63.12% - 74.47%
To 4 HP Jolteon: 50.74% - 60.29%

Focus Blast:

To CBTar: 69.61%-82.08%
To Lead Tar: 50.87%-59.85%
To LO Stratagem: 82.61% - 97.52% (66.67% chance to OHKO w/SR)
To SubCM Stratagem: 69.44% - 81.90%

Thunderbolt:

To Offensive Gyarados: 95.18% - 112.05% (OHKO w/SR)
To Bulky Gyarados: 85.41% - 100.54% (OHKO w/SR)
To Standard Skarmory: 62.87% - 74.25%

Signal Beam:

To Defensive Celebi: 61.39% - 73.27%


I'll add some more calcs if I get the time before the Stat Spread poll goes up.
 
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